Judea Pearl: Saudi King’s Gift Should Fulfill ‘Contract With Humanity’

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http://www.jewishjournal.com/home/preview.php?id=18540

We are in receipt of a refreshing piece of news from Jeddah, Saudi Arabia via the New York Times:

“On a marshy peninsula 50 miles from this Red Sea port, King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia is staking $12.5 billion on a gargantuan bid to catch up with the West in science and technology.”

This is not some humdrum investment. King Abdullah University for Science and Technology will create one of the world’s 10 most endowed science centers and, if it also manages to create an environment of academic freedom, might well be what the Arab world needs at this juncture of history.

Any program that liberates society from the grip of ignorance and helplessness should create opportunities for the millions of its angry youngsters and, naturally, should dwindle the pool of potential recruits to jihadi training camps. It deserves our blessing.

But the real reason this good news caught my attention was that it evoked a somewhat heretical thought: These $12.5 billion do not belong to King Abdullah; they belong to you and me — and King Abdullah is merely paying back a tiny fraction of the debt he owes us.

Let me elaborate.

We are conditioned to think, almost axiomatically, that natural resources belong to the people who reside on top of them. There is a glaring flaw in this axiom when viewed from a global citizenship perspective. Here we are, 6.5 billion Homo sapiens, stranded on this godforsaken planet, seeing our energy resources dwindling by the day, their cost rising by the night and a handful of self-appointed custodians asking us to pay premium prices for what the earth has graciously given all of us.

Why?

What divine rule or moral principle decrees that scarce natural resources be privatized and given to landlords who happen to own property in the vicinity of those resources? Wouldn’t it be more prudent and equitable if such resources were designated and managed for the benefit of all mankind?

Of course, I am not suggesting that the West proclaim ownership over Middle East oil reserves. That would not fit in with current trends in international law.

What I would like to suggest, though, is that we apply the logic of good citizenship and offer the Saudis (and Dubai, Iran, etc.) a reasonable win-win deal. They will retain custody of the earth’s oil, and we will keep paying them for the right to use it, with one catch: Part of our payment will be invested in the development of new energy sources.

I would like to believe that our forward-looking cousins should be thrilled and honored to sign this noble “contract with humanity.” Indeed, looking back at the history of technology, we find that century after century, this kind of contract was in fact practiced in the civilized world.

Let us start with England, the cradle of the Industrial Revolution. As soon as the steam engine was invented in the late 18th century and coal energy began moving trains and steamboats, record revenues started pouring into the British treasury, and a good chunk of it was invested in universities and research institutes. This allowed Michael Faraday, the son of a blacksmith, to attend evening classes in chemistry, build an experimental laboratory at the Royal Institution of Great Britain and, eventually, in 1831, discover electromagnetism.

The citizens of planet Earth were fairly pleased then with the return on their investment. A minor depletion of coal reserves paid off in electricity, and with it came new revenues, new innovations and new energy sources, including hydroelectric power and deeper coal mines.

A similar transaction took place in the 20th century. Revenues from electric lighting, streetcars, refrigerators and assembly lines were partially invested in research and education, which led to the discovery of nuclear energy. Again, the good citizens of planet Earth were pleased with the cycle that their energy reserves had spun. A meager investment in the form of depleted resources got converted into revenues, revenues into research, research into innovations and innovations back into new, larger and previously inaccessible energy resources.

But something went foul with petroleum. Until the 1950s, the industrial countries produced nearly all the petroleum they needed — the revenues from which were generously invested, as before, in research and development. But by the end of that decade, the gap between production and consumption had widened — and major quantities had to be purchased from countries in which research and education were practically nonexistent and the contract with humanity unheard of.

My rough calculation suggests that, in total, the inhabitants of this planet have paid the gigantic sum of $8 trillion to the oil-producing countries in the Middle East, all for the privilege of using the planet’s own energy resources. This is 100 times more than all the foreign aid that Israel has ever received in its entire existence.

Given the enormity of this investment, it would only be natural for one of the investors to humbly ask what the return has been on our investment? Regrettably, I believe I am the first investor to raise this question; my 6.5 billion partners have not read the fine print of our contract and have written it off as a cost of doing business with owners of a foreign planet.

Moreover, when I try to figure out the answer to my humble question, the findings are quite disheartening. Planet Earth, so it seems, has converted $8 trillion worth of its energy reserves primarily into four commodities:

1. Swiss bank accounts of kings, princes and sheikhs.

2. Hate-spewing madrassas in Pakistan and the Middle East.

3. Thousands of missiles and rockets aimed at Israel.

4. A well-endowed anti-American, anti-Israel propaganda machine in Europe and on U.S. campuses.

None of the above seems conducive to the discovery of new energy sources, as stipulated in the unwritten contract with humanity. The number of scientific papers produced per capita in the Arab world is about 50 times lower than in the industrial countries. Research and development expenditure (as a percentage of GDP) was a mere 0.4 in 1996, five times lower than in war-beleaguered Israel.

The entire Arab world translates about 330 books annually, one-fifth of the number that Greece translates. The number of patents registered each year in all Arab countries is about one-twenty-fifth that of tiny Israel.

Put bluntly, Mother Earth’s investment has been squandered away and at an unprecedented scale.

So, while we hope that King Abdullah’s project will inspire tolerance and technological advances in the Arab world and while world leaders hail his enlightened generosity in establishing the university, the real question is this: Will it bring mankind a meaningful return on its gigantic investment?

Judea Pearl is a professor at UCLA and president of the Daniel Pearl Foundation, named after his son. He is a co-editor of “I am Jewish: Personal Reflections Inspired by the Last Words of Daniel Pearl” (Jewish Lights, 2004).

Judea Pearl: Saudi King’s Gift Should Fulfill ‘Contract With Humanity’

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AUTHOR

Judea Pearl

Judea Pearl was born in Tel Aviv and is a graduate of the Technion-Israel Institute of Technology. He came to the United States for postgraduate work in 1960, and the following year he received a master’s degree in electrical engineering from Newark College of Engineering, now New Jersey Institute of Technology. In 1965, he simultaneously received a master’s degree in physics from Rutgers University and a PhD from the Brooklyn Polytechnic Institute, now Polytechnic Institute of New York University. Until 1969, he held research positions at RCA David Sarnoff Research Laboratories in Princeton, New Jersey and Electronic Memories, Inc. Hawthorne, California.

Pearl joined the faculty of UCLA in 1969, where he is currently a professor of computer science and statistics and director of the Cognitive Systems Laboratory. He is known internationally for his contributions to artificial intelligence, human reasoning, and philosophy of science. He is the author of more than 350 scientific papers and three landmark books in his fields of interest: Heuristics (1984), Probabilistic Reasoning (1988), and Causality (2000; 2009).

A member of the National Academy of Engineering and a founding Fellow of the American Association for Artificial Intelligence, Pearl is the recipient of numerous scientific prizes, including three awarded in 2011: the Association for Computing Machinery A.M. Turing Award for his fundamental contributions to artificial intelligence through the development of a calculus for probabilistic and causal reasoning; the David E. Rumelhart Prize for Contributions to the Theoretical Foundations of Human Cognition, and the Harvey Prize in Science and Technology from Technion – Israel Institute of Technology. Other honors include the 2001 London School of Economics Lakatos Award in Philosophy of Science for the best book in the philosophy of science, the 2003 ACM Allen Newell Award for “seminal contributions that extend to philosophy, psychology, medicine, statistics, econometrics, epidemiology and social science”, and the 2008 Benjamin Franklin Medal for Computer and Cognitive Science from the Franklin Institute.

Pearl is the father of slain Wall Street Journal reporter Daniel Pearl and president of the Daniel Pearl Foundation, which he co-founded with his family in February 2002 “to continue Daniel’s life-work of dialogue and understanding and to address the root causes of his tragedy.” The Daniel Pearl Foundation sponsors journalism fellowships aimed at promoting honest reporting and East-West understanding, organizes worldwide concerts that promote inter-cultural respect, and sponsors public dialogues between Jews and Muslims to explore common ground and air grievances. The Foundation received Search for Common Ground’s Award For Promoting Cross-Cultural Understanding in 2002 and the 2003 Roger E. Joseph Prize for its “distinctive contribution to humanity.”

Judea Pearl and his wife Ruth Pearl are co-editors of the book “I am Jewish: Personal Reflections Inspired by the Last Words of Daniel Pearl,” winner of the 2004 National Jewish Book Award for Anthologies, which provides a panoramic view of how Jews define themselves in the post 9/11 era.

Professors Pearl and Akbar Ahmed (American University), the founders of the Daniel Pearl Dialogue for Muslim-Jewish Understanding, were co-winners in 2006 of the Civic Ventures’ inaugural Purpose Prize, which honors individuals 60 or older who have demonstrated uncommon vision in addressing community and national problems.

Pearl lectures throughout the United States on topics including:

1. I am Jewish: Personal Reflections Inspired by the Last Words of Daniel Pearl

2. Being Western, American and Jewish in the Post 9/11 Era

3. Creating Dialogue between Muslims and Jews

4. The Ideological War on Terror

5. The Israeli-Palestinian conflict: The Case for Co-Existence

He has written commentaries about these topics for the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Boston Globe, The International Herald Tribune, The Daily Star (Beirut), The Saudi Gazette (Jeddah), and the Jerusalem Post. He writes a monthly column for the Jewish Journal of Greater Los Angeles and is frequently interviewed on major TV and radio stations.


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